A Chinese invasion of Taiwan is neither immediate nor inevitable. This is what General Mark Milley, the just retired chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff; Jake Sullivan, national-security adviser to President Biden; and Ambassador Raymond F. Burghardt, the former chairman of the American Institute in Taiwan, have all concluded in the last year.
Taiwan is an island democracy of 24 million people, with national elections coming in January. The People’s Republic of China, across the South China Sea, considers Taiwan a province of the mainland to be reclaimed. Timing to be determined.